Welcome to the second article in my series following the previous piece, “Our Financial History,” under the category of Forex and Stocks. In this article, we will dive into the stock market bubble history.
to uncover why our economy today is so intertwined with the stock market.
Some of you may have noticed my passion for stocks, evident in my trading activities.
For those unfamiliar with my background, I primarily trade indices—
Mastering technical analysis requires a solid grasp of price action. Price action refers to the movement of the overall market price.
Retail traders utilize price action to discern whether the market is bullish or bearish, using this insight to make calculated trades.
When an index like the Nasdaq is bullish, it simply means the market is trending upwards. Conversely,
when the Nasdaq index is bearish, it indicates that the market is trending downwards.
Retail traders who understand price action study past market trends to predict future market movements, enabling them to make informed and strategic trades.
Mastering Technical Analysis
Technical analysis encompasses various techniques that retail traders use to make calculated decisions on whether to buy or sell forex pairs (e.g., EUR/USD, GBP/USD) or indices (e.g., S&P 500, Nasdaq 100).
How Do Retail Investors Know When to Buy or Sell?
The reason many traders fail to make a profit is that they struggle to apply technical analysis effectively.
This prevents them from identifying whether they are strong buyers or sellers. It is crucial to trade with the market, not against it,
because we do not control the market—we only follow it. To understand the flow of price, one must first recognize that the market moves in three trends.
Bullish Trend
A bullish trend indicates that a specific stock, index, or commodity is performing well.
For example, when we observe a bullish market in Apple (AAPL) stock using technical analysis, it signals that retail traders should ideally look for buying opportunities (trading with the market).
Conversely, traders seeking selling opportunities in a bullish market are essentially trading against the market.
I personally do not recommend trading against the market. While it is achievable through practice,
I wouldn’t advise it, especially for beginners. I will teach you how I trade personally, not strategies I don’t use.
Bearish Trend
A bearish trend, identified through technical analysis, informs us that a specific stock, index, or commodity is underperforming.
On the other hand, traders seeking buying opportunities in a bearish market are trading against the market. Again, I don’t recommend trading against the market. Though possible with experience, it’s not advisable for those just starting out.
Consolidation Trend
The last trend you may encounter is a consolidation trend, which occurs when the market is indecisive.
This trend signifies a balance between sellers and buyers. Seasoned traders often watch for these trends as they can also be profitable.
Typically, after a period of consolidation lasting a week or so, the market often breaks into a bullish or bearish trend.
What to Expect: Mastering Technical Analysis
It’s important to recognize that trading is a game. Just like playing FIFA with friends, sometimes you win, sometimes you lose. Forex trading operates on the same principle.
in forex, your goal is to outperform the market. How does one achieve this, considering only a mere 10% succeed? The answer lies in mastering technical analysis.
I’m excited to teach you how to use price action to your advantage, helping you become part of the successful 10%.
I will show you exactly how to trade in bullish, bearish, and even consolidation channels using technical analysis.
Mastering Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance
At resistance levels, traders typically look for selling opportunities because the market often reverses downward from these points.
Conversely, at support levels, traders look for buying opportunities because the market often reverses upward.
I continuously emphasize the importance of using stop-loss orders in my teachings.
Just as it is easy for us to identify these areas, market makers and institutional traders also target these zones to exploit traders who do not use stop losses,
are impatient, or do not know how to utilize these areas effectively. Market makers can legally manipulate these levels to close their own positions due to the size of their investments.
Warren Buffett once stated that the stock market is a transfer of wealth from the impatient to the patient, highlighting the importance of a disciplined and patient trading approach.
Impulse and Correction: The Power of Price Action
We have identified that the market moves in three trends: uptrend, downtrend, and consolidation trend.
While the market moves in these trends, it’s important to note that it also creates a series of impulse and correction moves.
An impulse move occurs when the price of a currency pair or index covers a wide distance in the market in a short period (buy/sell)
influenced by market volatility. Once you learn the technical approach required to successfully trade impulse moves, you will understand why I say volatility is your friend.
A correction, also known as a pullback or retracement, happens when the market temporarily changes direction to regenerate liquidity before continuing in its intended direction.
I sometimes place my entries (with proper timing and skill) during a correction (law: after a correction follows an impulse) to capitalize on the impulse move.
I will also cover advanced technical trading sessions later.
Conclusion: Mastering Technical Analysis: The Power of Price Action
Mastering technical analysis is about understanding the market’s movements and learning how to interpret price action to make informed trading decisions.
By recognizing bullish, bearish, and consolidation trends, and by strategically using support and resistance levels, retail traders can significantly improve their chances of success.
Remember, patience and discipline are crucial in trading, as highlighted by Warren Buffett.
Embrace the market’s volatility and learn to harness it through impulse and correction moves.
With dedication and the right approach, you can become part of the successful 10% of traders. Let’s embark on this journey together and master the power of price action in technical analysis.
In my four years as a student of the market, I’ve come across many instances
whereby I’ve had my fair share of people who supported me and those who tried to discourage me. Let us look at both of them.
Inspiring Influences in My Life: Positive Energy
In late 2021, I realized the importance of having someone guide me in trading professionally.
There were many moments when I felt stuck,
such as not knowing the best times to trade in my country (South Africa)
or how to determine if the market was bullish or bearish.
Bullish: When the market is rising (price increases).
Bearish: When the market is falling (price decreases).
Today, I look up to my mentors because they continuously motivate me to stay focused and never give up.
Their encouragement has been crucial in my journey to becoming a mindful trader.
I am also deeply grateful for the support from those close to me.
This positive energy helps me persevere and rise above challenges when the going gets tough.
It’s crucial to keep close those who support you, as their positive energy can motivate and help you
stay focused on your journey to becoming a mindful trader.
Navigating Discouragement: Dealing with Detractors in Your Trading Journey
On your journey to becoming a successful trader, you will inevitably encounter people who try to demotivate you.
These detractors can come from anywhere—friends, family, relatives, colleagues.
Always be aware of them and never let their words influence your path. This journey is yours and yours alone.
Overcoming Negativity: The Key to Success in Forex Trading
You might often encounter individuals who have tried trading but gave up
when they realized the forex market isn’t a get-rich-quick scheme.
They tend to project their negative experiences onto you. Be mindful of such individuals.
They might not mean harm; their negativity could stem from their failures, leading them to believe forex is a scam.
It’s crucial not to absorb their negativity, especially as you strive to become a profitable trader.
Some people discourage you simply because they lack knowledge about trading.
They base their judgments on the failures of others. Don’t let their ignorance derail your progress.
Importance of Back Testing: Mindful Trading
I remember the first time I backtested my trading strategy in 2021.
This was my chance to see the progress I had made since starting in 2020.
Back testing essentially tests whether your strategy can endure over time
Like farming, trading has its seasons of rain and drought. Skilled and experienced traders navigate these ups and downs
better than those without such skills. Developing your trading skills is essential.
When we get into the practical side of trading, I’ll show you how to back test the strategy I teach.
This will be a fun learning experience because you’ll test the strategy without the fear of losing real money.
It will also help train your subconscious to focus on sharpening your
technical trading skills. Eventually, you’ll be ready to test it out in the real market.
Remember to always have patience
When Should You Start Trading Your First Real Account?
While trading a demo account is essential, you should also start saving to trade your first real account.
This helps you understand how you engage with the market for real.
In the first quarter of 2022, I funded my first account after countless back tests using
Trading View (covered in Technical Trading Lessons). This tool allows you to gain years of experience in a short time.
My journey continued when I funded my first account with $53.20 (R1,000). By this time, I had honed my skills and felt confident.
I initially only traded the Nasdaq 100, an index consisting of the 100 most publicly traded companies.
According to Nasdaq.com, the top 10 most publicly traded companies include:
Microsoft (MSFT) Alphabet Inc. Class C and Class A (GOOG, GOOGL) Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) Tesla Inc. (TSLA) Meta Platforms Inc. (META) NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Apple Inc. (AAPL) Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)
While trading the Nasdaq 100, I managed to flip my account, doubling it to $106.40 (R2,000) within a week.
The market provided countless setups that respected our price action strategy, leading to a streak of winning trades.
I withdrew my initial deposit of $53.20 that same week on Friday, just before my broker closed shop. That weekend,
I was excited and nervous—excited because I had flipped my account for the first time since 2020,
and nervous because it was my first time withdrawing money from my brokerage.
I remained patient, ensuring my emotions didn’t cloud my judgment.
On Tuesday at 10 AM, I received a notification from the bank confirming the deposit of $53.20 from my brokerage.
This was a turning point in my life, making me realize the potential of forex.
By not giving up, you can make significant progress in the world of trading.
Over time, consistency will enable you to see your growth as a retail trader.
Remember, just as it takes time to see progress when lifting weights for the first time,
Mastering your trading skills will develop based on your consistency.
A trader who makes the most mistakes will always outshine the one who does not, as long as they learn from their mistakes.
How Much Should You Fund Your First Account?
It’s ideal to start your trading journey by funding your account with anywhere from $53.20 to $159.61.(small account/mini accounts).
Small accounts help you worry less about blowing your account, especially when starting out.
When I first flipped my account and withdrew my initial deposit, I felt invincible, and my confidence soared.
After receiving my initial deposit, I started trading again, but this time things were different.
Understanding FOMO: Never Break Your Trading Rules
When I reopened Nasdaq and began analyzing, the market wasn’t giving the same setups as the previous weeks.
The market was not trending, meaning there were fewer opportunities.
I was unaware of this and let my judgment be clouded by the desire to flip my account again within a week.
Remember, there are times when the market gives, and times when the market takes.
We harvest at the end of a trending market and let it play out during a drought (choppy market).
A choppy market shows no clear trend, making small fluctuations in a short period.
It is when the price of a stock, currency pair, or commodity is indecisive.
During this time, the market gains liquidity by taking out impatient retail traders.
The elusive 10% of traders wait out the drought and emerge when the market trends again. I didn’t know this at the time.
All I could think about was flipping my account. I opened my trading platform and started analyzing Nasdaq again,
but this time the market wasn’t offering any high-probability buys or sells. Instead of avoiding the choppy market,
I was filled with a new emotion: FOMO (Fear of Missing Out). I didn’t like the idea of waiting because I thought if I waited,
I would miss out on an opportunity to capitalize on the market.
This impatience led me to lose 80% of my account. After this, I went back to the drawing board.
Keep in mind, I still had the $53.20 I had withdrawn. Instead of funding my reserves, I wanted to see what went wrong.
So, I back tested for a few hours until I realized I should not have entered the market.
This lesson taught me the power of back testing, testing a strategy with a small account, and differentiating between a trending market and a choppy market.
Conclusion: Mindful Trading
Remember, trading requires patience and a mindful approach. By funding a small account,
you can manage your risk better and learn valuable lessons without significant financial loss.
Always back test your strategies and understand market conditions before making trades.
This mindful approach will help you navigate the ups and downs of the trading world successfully.
Now that you are aware of the emotions you may encounter on your journey to becoming a mindful trader,
you are better suited to navigate your way more effectively than I did when I began my journey.
Next, we will delve into the practical side of trading—the fun part—where we’ll explore how to trade
using trend channels, support, and resistance levels and zones. Stay tuned for a lot of quality content designed to sharpen your skills. See you there!