Perfecting the Art of Trading Psychology Part 2

The Market: A Challenger Designed to Test You

Welcome back to part 2 of Perfecting the Art of Trading Psychology. Today, we continue our journey towards mastering the world of retail trading.


Consider this: In South Africa, approximately 4,000 individuals apply for aircrew training each year. Out of this sizable pool,

only about 30 will ultimately be selected. Interestingly, the world of Forex trading shares a similar narrative .

Did you know that a staggering 90% of all retail traders fail to turn a profit? That leaves only a mere 10% who manage to succeed.

Your objective? To become part of that elusive 10%. It’s challenging, but possible.

To thrive in the world of Forex trading, you must believe in your ability to prosper and adopt a mind-set of unwavering determination.

perfecting the art of trading psychology part 2

Remember, in Forex, it’s you against the market – always keep that in mind.

Importance of Demo Account: Perfecting the Art of Trading Psychology

A demo account is provided to you by the broker of your choice. This account simulates the market in real-time, allowing you to practice trading without financial risk.

perfecting the art of trading psychology part 2
The account type is normally displayed in the top left corner of the platform.

Additionally, brokers also offer real/live accounts, which involve actual funds and real market conditions.

perfecting the art of trading psychology
Real account: where you can trade with actual money

Remember in my previous article “Perfecting the Art of Trading Psychology” I stated that my excitement impatience (of money money) got the best of me?

Well if you have not checked it out CLICK HERE! Before continuing.

Why I Encourage You to Start Trading Demo Accounts Only: Art of Trading Psychology

When I first started trading in 2020, I didn’t have anyone to educate me about the importance of using a demo account.

So, weeks before I had my first call with Ethan, I began trading on a demo account.

At that time, I had no understanding of technical or fundamental analysis. All I knew was to buy when the market was low and sell when it was high.

I would create a $100,000 demo account, not realizing the importance of setting a realistic account size.

For example, I would trade the EUR/USD currency pair with a large lot size (5.00 lots). Since it was a demo account,

I wasn’t trading with real money and emotions weren’t involved. I would often forget about my trades, only to remember days later and find my account in significant profit.

I did this without any risk management strategy.
This is a common experience for many new forex traders. When you start with a demo account,

especially without proper guidance, it’s easy to make profits. However, the real challenge begins when you transition to trading with a real account.

perfecting the art of trading psychology part 2

As humans, we naturally feel euphoria when we gain money and sadness when we lose it, especially when it happens without our control.

This emotional response can significantly impact trading decisions. Trust me, it’s a common experience.

Even seasoned traders have gone through similar stages in their trading journey.
Remember, the goal is to develop the right skills and mind set to transition smoothly from demo trading to live trading.

With practice and proper guidance, you can turn your demo trading experience into a powerful tool for success in the forex market.

Turn Your Demo Account into a Profitable Machine with the Right Skills


Before funding a real account, it’s essential to have a fool proof strategy.

But what exactly is a fool proof strategy?
A fool proof strategy is one that has been thoroughly tested and proven to work over time.

Think of it like a pharmaceutical scientist testing a new drug: the drug must undergo numerous testing to ensure it’s safe for consumers.

perfecting the art of trading psychology part 2

Similarly, a forex or stock trader needs to test their strategy to ensure it works in the long term before using it with a real account.

I recommend starting with a demo account primarily so you can focus on mastering the strategy I’m going to teach you, rather than on making money.

When you focus on the skill, the money will eventually follow. However, if you focus solely on the money, it’s unlikely to come your way.

Once we’ve covered the practical curriculum (technical analysis), we can create demo accounts and start practicing to find the trading style that best suits your personality.

How to master your Fears? Perfecting the Art of Psychology


The emotion of fear is very common in forex or stock trading

and it is one of the main reasons a lot of trader’s fail to be profitable traders. Fear often presents itself in two stages:

Fear of losing your winning trade


In 2020, a month or two after I had blown my first real account, I found myself at my grandma’s house during the holiday season.

It was high school break, and I was visiting her and my cousins.
At that time, I was trying to grow my remaining account balance of $37.99,

hoping to recover my initial deposit of $270.06 USD The market had taught me a valuable lesson, and my fear of losing the rest of my account was at an all-time high.
I was somewhat familiar with a few key price strategies, like trends and the importance of using stop-loss and take-profit orders.

However, my trading skills were nowhere near what they are today. On my first trade, relying solely on trend lines,

the market moved in my direction by just a few pips. Instead of excitement, I was filled with fear.

The reason for this fear was the lingering memory of a USA30 trade that had caused me to lose $978 in profit within minutes.

This memory clung to my mind like Venom clings to Eddie Brock in the Marvel Movie Venom.

The fear was so intense that I could spend over two hours staring at the chart without even realizing it.

perfecting the art of trading psychology part 2

Today, I can spend a total of one hour in the market per day because I know exactly what I’m looking for in the market.

Another reason for my fear was that I did not set a stop-loss order, fearing that the market would retrace, stop me out, and then move in my desired direction.

I only set a take-profit order. Trading without a stop-loss is basically gambling; it’s not professional trading.

This behaviour heightens fear levels because, whether you realize it consciously or not, your subconscious is well aware that you could lose all your investments at any moment.
That’s why many inexperienced traders get glued to the charts all day like chart zombies, leading to unnecessary trades that eventually blow their accounts.

Fear of Losing a trade

By 2021, my trading style was starting to take shape. I had studied numerous price action strategies, such as trends, zones,

support and resistance, and had mastered the risk/reward ratio. After funding my fifth account (yes, I’ve blown many accounts),

I convinced myself to test trading with a stop-loss.
I funded my fifth live account, sacrificing new clothes and other expenses to stay committed to becoming a profitable trader.

Just as I was on the right path, I faced a new emotion: the fear of a pending loss.
This fear arises when you don’t fully trust your trading strategy.

The market often moves in the opposite direction before heading toward your target, testing your confidence in your strategy.

Here’s what happened to me: I caught a beautiful sell signal, but instead of the market falling, it pushed up, nearing my stop-loss.

Instead of letting the market play out, I closed the trade early, resulting in a loss. Ironically, after I closed my position, the market eventually sold off.

I felt so defeated that I even considered quitting trading altogether.
To manage this emotion, you must trust your strategy and let your trades play out.

Only by trusting in your abilities can you identify your mistakes and determine which setups work best for you.
This is why I emphasize the importance of practicing with a demo account. It allows you to focus solely

on mastering your skills, which better prepares you to handle the emotional aspects of trading.

End of Part 2: Perfecting the Art of Trading Psychology Part 2


Trading can be an emotional rollercoaster, especially when you’re just starting. It’s crucial to begin with a demo account

to build your skills without the pressure of real money on the line. By mastering a fool proof strategy and learning to manage your emotions,

perfecting the art of trading psychology part 2

you can transition to a live account with greater confidence and discipline.
Remember, the key to successful trading is not just about making money

but about developing a consistent and reliable strategy. Trust in your abilities, stay committed to your learning process, and don’t let fear dictate your actions.

Perfecting the Art of Trading Psychology

Welcome to Strategic Trading Academy: Perfecting the Art of Trading Psychology

At Funds and Galore, we’re excited to guide you on your journey to becoming a seasoned retail trader(Perfecting the art of trading).

Whether you’re new to trading or have some experience, you are welcome here. Our academy caters to all levels of traders.

We offer a comprehensive curriculum that covers both theory and practical lessons on our website and social media pages.

Beyond teaching you the skills to navigate the forex and stock markets, we will also host live streaming sessions featuring trading challenges.

These challenges are designed to encourage engagement and foster a learning community where we can all grow together.

Investing in yourself will definitely develop your personal growth. Start today and take the first step towards a better you!

Perfecting the Art of Trading Psychology

Before we get into the technical side of things, I would like to stress that it does not matter how good of a trader you are;

you will never be a profitable trader as long as you don’t have control over your emotions.

Psychology is the most important trait to have as a person wanting to harness well-calculated trades that align with a strategy that has stood the test of time.

Trading is Not a Get Rich Quick Scheme

My journey into trading began with a conversation with my friend Ethan in 2020. Though we hadn’t spoken in a while, our discussion quickly turned to the subject of trading.

Perfecting the Art of Trading

I was intrigued when Ethan mentioned a former schoolmate (Thabo) who had found success in trading. Ethan’s encouragement prompted me to reach out to this individual.

Thabo’s words of wisdom, especially “NEVER GIVE UP,” left a lasting impression on me.

Never Give Up: Success Requires Patience

At F&G, we approach teaching differently from traditional education. We believe in embracing mistakes as opportunities for growth.

Through trial and error, we learn which habits to avoid and which to adopt. Think of trading like learning to skateboard.

Just as a beginner skater seeks guidance from experienced mentors, aspiring traders benefit from mentorship and perseverance.

A mentor provides valuable guidance and direction in your journey to becoming a professional trader.

Success in both fields requires focus and consistency. Motivation alone is meaningless without the dedication to see it through.

In trading, as in skating, progress comes from persistence and learning from missteps. It’s a journey marked by falls and failures,

but with each setback comes invaluable lessons that propel us forward. With patience and perseverance, success becomes attainable,

transforming beginners into seasoned professionals.

The Market is Not Your Friend

In mid-2020, I studied how Thabo traded and managed to move out of his parents’ house by the age of 17.

Despite his success, he even went on to finish school. I yearned for that kind of freedom. It amazed me that someone living a seemingly ordinary life could achieve so much.

As I registered this, I realized that the road to success takes time. Thabo told me it took him over three years of consistent learning.

My brother Ethan confirmed that Thabo always sat at the back of the class around 2017, minding his own business and trading.

Little did everyone know, the boy at the back of the class was just a few steps away from success.

Lesson Learned: Perfecting the Art of Trading Psychology

During this time, I managed to fund my first real account with $270.06 USD (R5,000). I knew nothing about risk management or the importance of having a mentor.
This is where things get interesting. Thabo, at that time, was working on creating a platform to educate people on how to trade.

He charged me $33.25 (R612) adjusted for inflation to join.
I eventually saved up enough to join, and oh boy, was I excited and ready to learn.

perfecting the art of trading
Watch your emotions: Excitement too can lead to impulsive decisions

A few weeks passed, and the platform still wasn’t up.

Thabo was busy with exams, and while I understood that, my patience was wearing thin.

I was hungry to make money, dreaming about that BMW M4.
In my impatience, I made a fatal mistake that taught me a very valuable lesson.

Fatal Decision: Emotions Can Make or Break You

Thabo also had a signal group. A signal is a service provided by a professional trader, where they tell you when to buy or sell shares or currencies at what they believe is the right time to enter a trade.

In the heat of the moment, I asked Thabo to put me in his signal group instead of his mentorship package. Unfortunately for me, he agreed.

My goal was to mimic Thabo’s trades exactly. For example, Thabo would open five positions with a lot size of 0.01 (don’t worry, I’ll explain the lingo as time goes on for those who don’t understand)

for Nasdaq with a $271.48 (R5,000) account. He was over-leveraging his positions,

meaning that when he won, he stood to make over $1,086 (R20,000), and when he was wrong, he only lost the $271.48.

I wanted to do the same thing but didn’t understand that Thabo, unlike me, could easily fund another $271.48 if his trades didn’t go as planned.

It took me a long time to gather the $271.48 to fund my account, and I certainly didn’t have another $271 if my trade went south.

Impatience got the better of me as I waited for Thabo to send us another signal. After the first day without any communication,

I started looking for trades on my own, thinking Thabo was too busy to check the market, not realizing that good trades take time to develop.

All I understood was that you buy from the bottom and sell at the top. So when I opened my MetaTrader 4 app and saw the Nasdaq chart with candlesticks appearing at the bottom,

I, along with my cousin and little sister (my trading buddies at the time), concluded that I should buy. I opened a 0.03 and a 0.01 lot size to test the waters.

You wouldn’t believe what happened next. A few minutes later, Thabo sent a buy signal.

We went crazy and started entering 0.05, 0.02, and 0.01 lot sizes. Within three minutes, my account flipped from $271.48 to $978.22 (R18,000)

perfecting the art of trading
Even though over-leveraging is risky, with the right skills, you too will be able to master the skill.

adjusted for inflation. Never had I thought I’d make so much money in such a short period of time; this was when my love for the game started.

As exciting as it was, little did I realize the risk I had taken. I opened a total of 12 positions with a $271.48 (R5,000) account,

which was extremely risky. Lucky for me, Nasdaq prices soared without any market retracements.

In my excitement, I sent Thabo my results. I bet he thought, “Wow, this guy is crazy, so many positions without proper risk management.”

A few moments later, he sent us another signal to buy US30, and this is where my greed took full swing.

Keep in mind that the signals we received didn’t include a stop loss or take profit price level.

A stop loss is an order placed with your broker to sell at a specific price level to protect against large losses, and a take profit is an order to sell at a specific profit target.

Without these safety nets, I aimed to convert our new account balance of $978 to $2,714 (R50,000) with the US30 signal from Thabo.

I did exactly what I did with Nasdaq, but this time, the market sold instead of buying. In just under two minutes, I watched my account plummet from $978 to $37.99.

I couldn’t sleep that whole night. This was one of the hardest things to digest at the time. The market taught me a valuable lesson: Forex is not a get-rich-quick scheme.

End of Part 1: Perfecting the Art of Trading

As we continue this journey, I hope you now see the critical importance of having proper risk management if you want to survive long-term in the forex market.

Mimicking a professional trader’s style without proper guidance is a recipe for disaster.

As we just saw, I ended up losing the majority of my account all in one day. This was a lesson well learned because today,

I trade with proper risk management. Instead of flipping my whole account in one day,

it might take me a month or so to double it because I understand the value of risk management and patience.

At F&G Company, we are here to ensure you don’t make the same mistakes I did. Our goal is to provide you with the tools and knowledge to trade responsibly and successfully.

Through our comprehensive curriculum, live trading challenges, and a supportive community,

we aim to build not just skilled traders but disciplined ones who understand the art of trading psychology.

Stay with us as we dwell deeper into the strategies and mind-sets that lead to sustainable success in the trading world.

perfect art of trading

Together, we will navigate the highs and lows of the market, turning each challenge into a stepping stone toward mastery.

Welcome to Strategic Trading Academy, where your journey to mastering the art of trading psychology begins.

2008 Financial Crisis Part 1

Introduction: 2008 Crisis

The subprime mortgage housing market was the reason for the 2008 Financial Crisis.

During this time, millions of hardworking, tax-paying Americans bore witness to horror as their retirements, investment portfolios, and 401(k) plans plummeted in value.

What to Look Forward to: The 2008 Financial Crisis

We are going to examine the 2008 financial crisis because its outcomes had a profound impact on many countries worldwide.

As I discussed in my article titled “Our Financial History,” our financial systems are deeply interconnected.

I will also be discussing why the United States elites decided to use central bank interventions to bail out major banks from facing bankruptcy by injecting

liquidity into the market—and why the masses were against the actions taken by the government to bail out Wall Street.

We will also cover the viewpoints of the main individuals who were involved in bailing out the banks

and why they believed it was the right thing to do. Lastly, we will cover the few people who managed to make millions, if not billions, during this crisis.

Central Bank Intervention: 2008 Crisis

The question that most people ask is, ‘Can the central bank go bankrupt?’ And the simple answer to that is NO!

Central banks, unlike commercial or investment banks, cannot go bankrupt. Walk with me for a second.

In my previous article titled ‘Banking Through the Ages… Pt 1,’

I mentioned that back in the 17th century (Europe), goldsmiths used to act as banks.

Whenever citizens felt like their goldsmith was not honouring their agreement or their corporation was dealing with insolvency,

it would cause other clients from different goldsmith’s corporations (that were not dealing with

insolvency) to panic and believe their goldsmith’s corporation might be next to fall, eventually triggering a bank run.

The invention of central banks was to prevent such activities from happening.

2008 Financial Crisis

A central bank is a private institution responsible for stabilizing its financial system by issuing currency and managing a country’s monetary policy.”

Why Central Banks are not Government Institutions?

The reason central banks are not government institutions is simply because if politicians had the authority to print money as they pleased,

they would always print money to fulfill their campaign promises, ensuring they stay in power for a longer term and gain admiration from the public.

What this would do is cause an increase in the money supply in a country, which will affect the citizens’ purchasing power and the growth of a nation.

Central Bank Intervention in the 2008 Financial Crisis

Keep in mind that it took the United States government roughly 200 years to reach a trillion dollars in circulation within its economy.

In 2008, the U.S. government initiated the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), authorizing $700 billion to stabilize the financial system during the crisis that year—crazy, right?

The government and the Federal Reserve took these measures to prevent a financial system collapse,

which could have led to a depression similar to the one that began in 1929 and lasted until the early 1940s.

This form of central bank intervention is known as Quantitative Easing (QE), where the Fed buys longer-term

securities to increase the money supply and encourage lending and investment.

2008 financial crisis
QE is a tool used by central banks to increase the money supply in a country.

How the Citizens Reacted to QE?

Quantitative easing (QE) was very unpopular in the eyes of some American citizens.

Many were angry at the government for bailing out the “too big to fail” institutions.

They argued that the government should have let these institutions collapse and file for bankruptcy

instead of buying $700 billion worth of troubled mortgage-backed securities with tax payer money to save the big banks.

These institutions, such as Lehman Brothers, JPMorgan, Bear Stearns, Citigroup, Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and AIG,

were responsible for taking on a lot of risky speculations with their depositors’ money because they legally owned it.

This reckless behaviour led some of them to file for bankruptcy. This was one among many other reasons that led to the fall of President George W. Bush.

The Elites Involved in Injecting Liquidity to Stabilize the 2008 Financial Crisis

The three important individuals who played a significant role in stabilizing the markets were Hank Paulson (U.S. Treasury Secretary, 2006-2009),

Timothy Geithner (President of the NY Federal Reserve, 2003-2009), and Ben Bernanke (Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, 2006-2014).

They worked alongside former U.S. President Bush by offering him guidance and support in navigating this crisis.

Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Paulson argued in one of his interviews that what they did was not for Wall Street but for the American people.

He continued by stating that he and the government should have done a better job explaining to people that the financial system is so interconnected

that if you want to stop the bleeding, you go for the source, and the source he was referring to is Wall Street.

Wall Street is a street located in New York City. The term ‘Wall Street’ is often used to refer to the institutions located in the lower district of Manhattan,

2008 Financial Crisis

where hedge funds, investment banks, and stock exchanges are situated. It’s important

to keep in mind that these institutions play a very important role in ensuring stability in global finance.

What Caused the 2008 Financial Crisis

2008, for me, was just another year full of fun, playing with my peers every day at school, and spending a lot of quality time with my family.

 Little did I know that the financial system was on the brink of collapsing. Even though the aftermath of it affected my nation’s economy too (South Africa),

I was too young to understand any of it.

I also understand that for some of us, this could be the first time hearing about this, which is absolutely fine.

 My goal is simple: to take this complex subject and simplify it as much as I can so that everybody can be on the same page.

Community Reinvestment Act of 1977

Let’s take a trip back to America in 1995. During this time, the U.S. government saw the need to fight discrimination against lower-income home buyers.

Their goal was basically to give low-income community members an opportunity to credit and banking services which were not available to them before with this law was passed.

The government saw fit to implement these reforms (CRA) of 1977 during 1995. Therefore, the banks could now offer reduced payment over a duration of time from their clients.

The Glass-Steagall Act of 1933

On November 12, 1999, the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (GLBA) was passed by President Bill Clinton.

2008 Financial Crisis

This act was implemented to repeal key provisions of the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933. What is the Glass-Steagall Act, you might ask?

Well, it is also called the Banking Act of 1933. The Banking Act of 1933 was a law passed as a means to fight and prevent the actions that led to the Great Depression.

This piece of legislation separated commercial banking from investment banking.

 The Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 restricted commercial banks (banks that issue loans and take deposits) from participating in the securities market and from dealing with stocks and bonds.

The reason it was passed was simply in response to the financial crisis that led to the Great Depression.

 Fast forward to 1999, the GLBA legislation passed by President Bill Clinton allowed commercial banks, insurance institutions,

and investment banks to yet again offer a bundle of financial services that had been prohibited under Glass-Steagall after 66 years.

What happened next was that some banks who used to manage their portfolios responsibly all turned to riskier investments and speculation competing against each other,

all in the efforts of generating the most return on investments and also adapting to changes within the housing market.

 In other words, banks were more concerned about making Wall Street profits than about their clients who entrusted them with their savings and investments.

The Dot-Com Bubble

During 1995, people were blown away by the internet. Many individuals were investing in the booming Dot-com bubble (Internet bubble),

and numerous institutions were also putting money into any company that had a “dot-com” at the end because they were making a lot of money doing that.

 In March 2000, we witnessed the burst of the market. Investors lost confidence in these dot-com companies that were publicly traded.

We saw an enormous decline in the value of many technology stocks during this time.

 What followed later were the 9/11 attacks, along with many other economic challenges.

It looked like America was heading toward a recession, but just before that, the central bank stepped in to save the day.

Central banks stabilized the markets by lowering interest rates down to 1%.

The outcome was that a lot more people were able to borrow money and were not paying high interest rates on their loans.

The economy recovered quickly, and life was good again.

Subprime Loans: 2008 Financial Crisis

Subprime loans are essentially a collection of loans given to individuals with bad credit scores,

insufficient credit history, and a higher chance of defaulting (high risk).

The institutions offering these subprime loans were banks, credit unions, finance companies, and mortgage companies.

As more and more people rushed to take out loans over time, these institutions began to decrease the lending requirements needed to secure loans.

2008 Financial crisis
Even people who didn’t have jobs could get a mortgage. These institutions became careless.

Eventually, they stopped verifying whether people actually had jobs or incomes to pay off these loans.

This caused a boom in the housing market, and many people were buying houses they previously couldn’t afford.

People didn’t worry because they believed that if they couldn’t afford their mortgage payments anymore,

they could simply sell the property, as home prices were skyrocketing.

Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs)

As time went on, Wall Street saw an opportunity that they could capitalize on.

 Since subprime mortgage lenders were taking all the risk of lending to subprime clients, they needed to find a way to mitigate their risk.

There was also demand for high-yielding investments (that were safe) at that time from institutional investors.

What followed was the creation of mortgage-backed securities.

 Mortgage-backed securities were a pool of subprime loans mixed with prime loans (individuals who had good credit history).

This bubble of mortgages was issued out as shares to investors.

 The goal of these shares was to provide a fixed safe income for the investors who purchased them.

That is when Wall Street decided to use a financial tool that was created in the late 80s (CDOs).

A CDO is a bundle of cash-flow-generating assets like commercial mortgages, car loans, student loans, etc., bundled together and sold to investors.

 Banks would make over 10 billion dollars monthly selling these shares to investors at a higher interest.

Think of these grouped cash-flow-generating assets as a box (CDO); every box sold has different levels of risk.

Jonathan Jarvis once explained on ColdFusion TV that a CDO operates like three cascading trays.

2008 Financial Crisis
Top tray: safest; middle tray: moderate; bottom tray: risky.

 As money flows in, it fills the top tray first, then spills over into the middle tray, and whatever remains fills the bottom tray.

This money originates from homeowners paying off their mortgages. If some homeowners default on their mortgages, less money flows in,

leaving the bottom tray potentially unfilled, which makes it riskier.

 Conversely, the top tray is safer. To balance this risk, the bottom tray offers a higher rate of return, while the top tray provides a lower but still attractive return.

This structure was designed to appeal to a range of investors, from those willing to take high risks to those preferring lower risks.

 While CDOs seemed promising in theory, the issue was that subprime loans were mixed with prime loans, increasing the overall risk.

Subprime borrowers were more likely to default, making the CDOs riskier investments.

End of Part 1: 2008 Financial Crisis

In part 1 of the “2008 Financial Crisis,” we briefly mentioned central bank interventions, specifically how the central bank lowered interest rates to 1%.

We also mentioned how President Bill Clinton passed a bill in 1999 that allowed banking institutions to partake in risky investments, among other things.

In part 2 of the “2008 Financial Crisis,” I will explain how all these factors I mentioned contributed to the market crash in 2008.

Banking Through the Ages Part 2

Banking Through the Ages

Banking Through the Ages: A Journey of Power and Influence part 2
A few years back, as I was growing up,

I always used to wonder how banks made a lot of money while waiting in line to withdraw money from an ATM.

The most common answer I received from people was that banks had these large vaults of depositors’ physical money stashed,

and that this money is used to lend out to other clients from the same bank, and the banks make money on the interest on the loan.


To a degree, this is true. Now, allow me to give a detailed breakdown of the formation of modern banks and later speak about the financial crisis they caused during 2007-2008.

In the last article, we spoke about the origins of banks. If you have not read part 1 of “Banking Through the Ages”,

I urge you to begin there before reading this article. Thank you.

The First Form of money: Age of Modern Banking


The first form of money is created by the government. There is about 3% of this form of money (notes and coins) created through the central bank.

Banking through the ages
Today, there is about 3% physical money in the form of paper and notes in the total money supply in most developed countries. 97% of it is all digital.

So basically, this physical money (3%) is sold to banks. For example, it roughly costs the central bank about 3 cents to print a $10 currency note.

The central bank then sells this $10 note to a bank at face value.


Banks can either buy this $10 or repay it back at a later stage. Banks then can finally use this physical money to meet their obligations,

like making sure they have enough money to meet the daily withdrawals of individuals belonging to that bank.

So now we understand where the money we withdraw on a day-to-day basis comes from.

Now the question is if it costs the central bank 3 cents to create a $10 note, what does it do with the $9.97 profit?

Well, the central bank uses this profit to add to the tax revenue of the government.

This is known as seigniorage. Seigniorage helps reduce taxes that we, as people, pay and also helps reduce government debt.

Private Banks (Fiat Currency)


Fiat currency is money that is backed by nothing, it does not have intrinsic value.

1971 former president Nixon put an end to the Bretton wood system and all currencies became fiat.

Banking Through the Ages
Ever since President Nixon took out the dollar from the gold standard, countries have had no restrictions in terms of how much debt they can accumulate.

When we look back in the 17century remember goldsmiths issued out receipts in exchange for gold coins

and these receipts were as good as gold because people believed it had value, so they continued to trade with it.

The same thing with us today. Fiat currency’s value is largely based on the public’s faith in the currency’s issuer(government).


In most developed countries, 97% of money is created digitally by the private banking sector,

even the 16th Chair of the federal reserve of the United States Jerome Powell mentioned in an interview that the fed prints the money digitally.

The reason for this is that banks have been exposed to bank runs many years ago.

A bank run is an occurrence whereby a lot of depositors simultaneously withdraw their deposits from a bank in fear of the bank being insolvent (not able to repay its depositors).


Remember in my previous article “Banking Through the Ages” part 1, I mentioned, back in the 17thcentury goldsmiths would give out receipts (notes) to borrowers.

The receipt details that the borrower promises to pay back the principle plus interest.


Goldsmiths would write out more receipts than they had gold reserve to back it up and this would often end in situations

whereby depositors would all want to withdraw their money e.g.

they heard a rumour that the goldsmith was using their gold deposits to finance their lavish lifestyle.

This situation would often leave goldsmith bankrupted crashing the whole system.

In the modern days we have digitized this agreement. Today this agreement is called debt

Banking Through the ages


For many years’ banks have been trying to pursue policymakers to allow them to create money digitally.

Banks highlighted the potential growth this might have for the future until they eventually pursued policymakers to create digital money.

Private Banking :Banking Through the Ages


Obtaining a banking license means a financial company adheres to strict government regulations. Only licensed institutions can be designated as banks.

To earn this license, a company must meet a comprehensive list of requirements, such as maintaining financial reserves and safeguarding data systems.

Therefore, when an institution is granted a banking license, it is authorized to issue loans and accept deposits. Let’s start by examining deposits.

What significance does our deposit hold for a bank?


Many people aren’t aware that once you deposit money into a bank, you’re no longer the legal owner of that money; it becomes the bank’s money.

“What do you mean I’m no longer the legal owner of my money?” you might ask. Well, allow me to explain.


Whenever you deposit money into a bank, that amount appears on the bank’s financial statement in the liability column, meaning the bank owes you that money.

In other words, the bank owes you money that you can legally claim back anytime.


However, banks can legally loan out 90% of your money and keep 10% in reserves.

For example, if Mr. Walker goes to ABC Bank and deposits $100, ABC Bank then takes $10 (10%)

and puts it in their reserves and loans out his $90 (90%) with interest to their other client, Jake.

Jake then takes the $90 and pays off his mechanic for fixing his car.
Then Jake’s mechanic goes to ABC Bank and deposits the $90,

and the cycle would restart again.

This is known as fractional reserve banking. Basically, there was $190 in money circulation, and the bank had only $19 in their reserve.

Today, we see this scenario in large volumes because the world is run by debt. The economy is driven by the backbone of debt.

Now allow me to break down the process step-by-step to ensure clarity:

Initial Steps:

  1. Mr. Walker’s Deposit:
  • Mr. Walker deposits $100 in ABC Bank.
  • ABC Bank keeps $10 (10%) in reserve.
  • ABC Bank loans out $90 (90%).
  1. Jake’s Transaction:
  • Jake receives a $90 loan from ABC Bank.
  • Jake pays $90 to his mechanic.
  • Mechanic deposits $90 in ABC Bank.
  • ABC Bank keeps $9 (10%) in reserve.
  • ABC Bank loans out $81 (90%).

Total Money and Reserves:

  1. After Mr. Walker’s Deposit:
  • Total Money Deposited: $100
  • Money Loaned Out: $90
  • Reserves Held: $10
  1. After Mechanic’s Deposit:
  • Total Money Deposited: $100 (Mr. Walker) + $90 (Mechanic) = $190
  • Money Loaned Out: $90 (Jake) + $81 (loaned out from Mechanic’s deposit) = $171
  • Reserves Held: $10 (from Mr. Walker) + $9 (from Mechanic) = $19

Breakdown of Circulation:

  • Initial Deposit (Mr. Walker): $100
  • Reserves: $10
  • Loaned Out: $90
  • First Cycle (Jake’s Payment): $90
  • Mechanic’s Deposit: $90
  • Reserves: $9
  • Loaned Out: $81

Verification of Money in Circulation:

  • Initial Money in Circulation:
  • Mr. Walker’s $100 deposit is part of the money supply.
  • Jake has $90 in circulation after receiving the loan.
  • Mechanic’s Deposit and New Loan:
  • Mechanic has deposited $90, which is now part of the bank’s deposits.
  • ABC Bank loans out $81 from the mechanic’s deposit.

Summary:

  • The total money in circulation increases as loans are made and deposited back into the bank.
  • After the initial deposit and first cycle:
  • Money Supply: $100 (initial deposit) + $90 (loan to Jake) = $190
  • Reserves Held by Bank: $19 (total reserves from initial and mechanic deposits)

Conclusion: Banking Through the Ages

The process of fractional reserve banking indeed leads to a multiplied effect on the money supply while maintaining the required reserves at each step.

banking through the ages

This scenario demonstrates how the money supply expands through repeated lending and depositing,

which is a fundamental aspect of how modern banking operates.


Banks today operate in an environment where there are policies in place to prevent them from becoming insolvent and collapsing the global system.

For many years, when too many depositors demanded their deposits back but the banks didn’t have enough reserves to service that outflow of liquidity,

unfortunately, the bank would have to file for bankruptcy and everybody would lose.
In the modern day, steps have been implemented to prevent bank runs like the establishment of Central banks.

They act as lenders of last resort because they have the muscle to inject liquidity directly into banks.

By doing so, they can stabilize the banking system given that there was perhaps a run on the bank

because people heard rumours or news that ABC Bank, for example, is going through financial instability.

My next article will focus on the 2008 crisis and the breakdown of central banks

Banking Through the Ages

Banking Through the Ages: A Journey of Power and Influence Part 1

The subprime mortgage crisis of 2008 shattered trust in the banking system, revealing its vulnerabilities and flaws. During this period, many people watched as their pensions and savings were wiped out, and homes were repossessed, while institutions received government bailouts. This awakening left many citizens with little to no trust in governments. With this article “Banking Through the Ages” we aim to breakdown the origins of banking and in part 2 of “Banking Through the Ages”

I will explain how modern banking works and most importantly, what does this all mean for you.


Before we dive into the 2008 crisis, let’s take a brief look into how banking works. As Henry Ford once famously said,

“It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning.”

Barter System: Before Banking

To understand the key tools banks, have at their disposal, we first need to dive back into history. In ancient times,

trade began with people bartering for goods and services.

For example, if you had an extra supply of tomatoes and needed bread, you could negotiate with your neighbour

who had an abundance of bread, exchanging two tomatoes for a loaf.

Banking Through the Ages

However, the barter system had its limitations. Sometimes, you might have a product of equal value to what you needed,

but the seller wasn’t interested in what you were offering.

This lack of flexibility often left people uncertain about the value of their assets. Over time,

the barter system gave way to the use of money as a medium of exchange.

The First Bankers: Banking Through the Ages

Almost 2,600 years ago, gold coins were minted and used as a medium of exchange.

This created flexibility in the marketplace, allowing people to trade goods and services without needing a direct barter exchange.

During this time, goldsmiths laid the foundation for institutional banks as we know them today.

Goldsmiths, who crafted jewellery and coins from gold and other precious metals, played a crucial role.

One of the prominent goldsmiths at the time, who through his practices was able to influence the emerging banking sector, was Edward Backwell (c. 1618–1683). By 1672, the crown had defaulted on its debts.

Robert Kiyosaki has described gold as “God’s Money” in some of his talks and interviews.

Gold has been universally accepted as currency for many years due to its rarity and resistance to tarnishing.

However, some individuals attempted to create counterfeit gold coins. To counter this,

goldsmiths established a reputation for producing coins with 100% purity and weight.

They would seal the coins they minted with their unique marks, making it difficult for counterfeiters to replicate their work.

Sealing gold coins allowed people to instantly determine their value, saving time and effort in verifying their authenticity.

Additionally, it was risky to carry large amounts of gold, prompting people to entrust their coins to trusted goldsmiths

for safekeeping in vaults, similar to modern-day banks’ savings accounts.

Banking Through the Ages
It was risky to keep large amounts of gold at home because it could easily be stolen. Therefore, keeping it in vaults with goldsmiths was the best option for citizens.

People were comfortable leaving their wealth with goldsmiths because the success of a goldsmith’s business relied heavily on their reputation.

Vaults where gold was stored were heavily guarded, and citizens paid fees for the secure storage of their wealth.

The similarities between banking practices in the 17th century and modern-day banking are striking.

Just as goldsmiths charged fees for depositing gold, banks today charge interest on savings accounts.

This arrangement benefits both parties, but primarily the goldsmiths or banks.

Key Weapon That Goldsmiths Developed: Banking Through the Ages

For example: Bridget hands over 20 gold coins to her trusted goldsmith, then in return,

the goldsmith hands over a rectangular receipt (similar to our currency notes today) back to Bridget, detailing that this note is as good as 20 gold coins.

Basically, this receipt meant that anytime Bridget desired, she could go back to her goldsmith and trade it back for her 20 gold coins.

What happens next is that more and more citizens begin to accept this system. I mean, it was easier to carry around paper receipts than to go around carrying heavy gold coins.

This system of trade functioned successfully because people believed that these receipts were as good as gold.

People trusted that they could go and convert the receipts into gold coins at their trusted goldsmith anytime they wanted.

People then started exchanging these receipts for goods in the marketplace as if the notes were gold itself.

While people were enjoying the flexibility of trade, goldsmiths had other operations running.

Goldsmiths started lending out their own gold to the community in the form of debt while also charging interest on the loan.

How Goldsmith Banking Catered to Borrowers

Later on, borrowers started asking for their loans in receipts instead of metals because they were much more convenient to trade with.

As time went on, more and more people started asking for loans, expanding the goldsmith’s corporation. This indeed enriched goldsmiths.

As time went on more and more clients started to believe that the goldsmiths were using their deposits (gold) to finance their new expensive lifestyles.

What their client did next was to threaten to withdraw their gold deposits from the vaults if they didn’t come clean about their newfound wealth.

Goldsmiths would then need to prove that the gold is still there, stored safely in the vaults and not used unethically.

After the goldsmiths prove that the gold is still locked safely and was not used unethically,

the citizens were relieved but were eager to make some of the profits too on the interest goldsmiths made, so they pleaded with their goldsmiths.

Goldsmiths found themselves in a tricky situation because if they had refused to allow the depositors to make some form of profit,

they might have risked depositors cashing out their gold, and this would have ended the goldsmith’s corporation.

Goldsmiths had to be crafty to combat this situation. What happens next was the start of banking.

The goldsmith decided to pay a low-interest rate on deposits of other people’s money that he then loaned out at a higher interest.

The gross pay covered expenses necessary to run the organization and most importantly left a good amount of profits which made the new bankers (goldsmiths) rich.

As time went on, goldsmiths started noticing patterns in their depositors’ behaviour. They realized that no one really withdrew their gold deposits.

People were constantly using receipts for trade. What the goldsmiths did next was to loan out more receipts than there was gold to back it up.

For example: if the Carter family deposits 5 gold coins, the Atkinson deposits 5 gold coins and the goldsmith had 5 gold coins of his own.

The goldsmith would have a total of 15 gold coins in his vault.

This would mean that there are 10 receipts that the goldsmith issued out. The Carter’s would have 5 receipts and the Atkinson’s would have 5 receipts that they use in the market to buy goods.


Then later came the Walker, Wilson, Davies and the Williams family who all took on loans of 10 coins per family with the same goldsmith.


Meaning that the total loan for all the 4 families =40 gold coins. Instead of the goldsmith telling the families that he only has 15 gold coins

stored in his vaults. The goldsmith wrote out 40 receipts and issued them out to the 4 families and they could use this receipts in the market place.

Allow me to break it down step by step:

Initial Deposits:

  1. Carter Family deposits 5 gold coins.
  2. Atkinson Family deposits 5 gold coins.
  3. Goldsmith has 5 gold coins of his own.

Total gold coins in the vault = 5 (Carter) + 5 (Atkinson) + 5 (Goldsmith) = 15 gold coins.

Receipts for Deposits:

  • 5 receipts to the Carter family.
  • 5 receipts to the Atkinson family.

Total receipts issued for deposits = 5 (Carter) + 5 (Atkinson) = 10 receipts.

Loans:

  1. Walker Family takes a loan of 10 coins.
  2. Wilson Family takes a loan of 10 coins.
  3. Davies Family takes a loan of 10 coins.
  4. Williams Family takes a loan of 10 coins.

Total loans issued = 10 (Walker) + 10 (Wilson) + 10 (Davies) + 10 (Williams) = 40 gold coins.

Receipts Issued for Loans:

  • 10 receipts to Walker family.
  • 10 receipts to Wilson family.
  • 10 receipts to Davies family.
  • 10 receipts to Williams family.

Total receipts issued for loans = 10 (Walker) + 10 (Wilson) + 10 (Davies) + 10 (Williams) = 40 receipts.

Total Receipts Calculation:

Total receipts issued = 10 (for initial deposits) + 40 (for loans) = 50 receipts.

Gold Coins in the Vault:

The goldsmith still has only the original 15 gold coins in the vault.

Analysis:

  • Gold coins in vault: 15.
  • Receipts in circulation: 50.

The goldsmith has issued 50 receipts representing 50 gold coins, while he only has 15 gold coins in his vault.

This is another example of a fractional-reserve banking scenario where the amount of money (represented by receipts) exceeds the actual reserves. The goldsmith would make a lot more profits on interest with money that was not backed.

What can go wrong? Just as long as people believed that the receipts had value.

Conclusion: Banking Through the Ages: A journey of Power and Influence Part 1

Goldsmiths wasted no time in seizing the opportunities presented by the evolving trade systems to maximize their returns.

This might be the first time some of us are hearing about “fractional-reserve banking,”

where goldsmiths issued more loans than they had gold to back them up.

This practice was sustainable as long as people continued to use receipts as a form of trade and did not demand to convert their receipts back into gold.

This system laid the foundation for modern banking, allowing the economy to grow and prosper while also introducing potential risks, such as bank runs.

A bank run occurs when a large number of clients attempt to withdraw their deposits simultaneously,

often triggered by rumours or loss of confidence in the goldsmiths’ ability to honour their obligations.

As we close Part 1 of ‘Banking Through the Ages’, it’s clear that the financial practices developed by goldsmiths have had a lasting impact,

setting the stage for the complex banking systems we have today. However, the evolution of banking didn’t stop there.

Curious about how these historical practices have shaped our modern financial systems and what it all means for you today?

Don’t miss out on Part 2 of “Banking Through the Ages: A Journey of Power and Influence.”

Dive deeper into the mechanics of modern banking, the implications of fractional-reserve banking

(The practice of keeping a fraction of bank deposits in reserve while lending out the rest),

and discover how these financial principles affect your daily life. Click here to continue the journey!

Inflation-Driven Price Increases: Pt 2

Introduction

I urge you to read Part 1 of the article “Inflation-Driven Price Increases Pt. 1” before reading this article.

Thank you. To recap the first article, where we left off from Part 1 of “Inflation-Driven Price Increases,”

we mentioned what the Treasury and the Federal Reserve are responsible for in our monetary system.


Financial Bubble: Inflation Part 2

Now, back to how the government monetary system is built up like a Ponzi scheme:

There comes a time when the US government needs money; what they do is take a loan with the Federal Reserve.

Then, what happens next is that the Federal Reserve prints out the money, gives it to the government,

and in return, the Treasury prints out an I.O.U (I Owe You/government bonds) and hands it back to the Federal Reserve, promising to pay it back.

Inflation- Driven Price Increase: Pt 2
What this tells us is that the world runs on debt.

With this liquid cash, the government uses it to fund wars, healthcare, education, reduce unemployment, etc.

While the government is doing that, the Treasury and the Federal Reserve work closely to sell off the I.O.U’s at auction

to other retail investors (individuals like you and I) and other countries’ central banks.

How Will the Government Pay Back the Loan?

The problem is if the government uses money that is loaned out from the central banks to pay bills and previous loans,

how will the government plan on paying off the current loan plus interest?


What they do is they borrow more money to pay off the current loan plus the interest,

and they keep repeating this vicious cycle over and over again.

E.g.: The government borrows $1000 from the Federal Reserve then the Treasury will hand out an I.O.U (receipt/note) back to the Federal Reserve.

Inflation Driven Price Increase
Note that the Federal Reserve is an independent entity, not a government department, while the Treasury, on the other hand, is a government department.

On the IOU it states that the government promises to pay back the money plus interest.

The government uses the money to stimulate the economy and when it comes time to pay back the loan

they take an even bigger loan again from the Federal Reserve again to repay back the original loan ($1000) plus interest.

They do this over and over, getting into more and more debt.

It is a giant Ponzi scheme because you can never pay it off; it always requires the government to go deeper into debt.

The reason why other nations and retail investors invest in government bonds is that they are known as “low-risk” investments.


It’s not as if the government will vanish with your investment or fail to pay out dividends due to liquidity issues, right?

Governments have some degree of control over the money supply, so investors can be assured they will receive their money back.


It’s important to note that when an investment is classified as low-risk, just know that the return on investment will be low too. The higher the risk, the greater the return.

This is how today’s Monetary system operates: The American government gets money (debt) from the Federal Reserve,

in return, the Treasury hands out an I.O.U to the Fed.

Let’s say the government gets $500 billion debt from the feds, legally American government can use this newly created money

to buy oil from the Middle East, gold and Platinum from South Africa, or machinery and mechanical appliances from China.


Next, foreign central banks like those in China or Japan (who invested in U.S. government bonds),

instead of converting their dollar profits back into their respective currencies—since doing so would cause

the value of their local currency to rise (leading to deflation) in relation to other currencies,

making it less desirable for trade—reinvest these export profits in the United States by purchasing government bonds.

In return, they receive an IOU from the US Treasury.


Three countries that own the most U.S. government bonds:

  1. Japan held $1.15 trillion in treasury securities – Jan 2024
  2. China held $797.7 billion in Treasury securities – Jan 2024
  3. The United Kingdom held $753.5 billion in treasury securities – Jan 2024

This increase in government debt and the act of printing money and running trade deficits are some of the reasons why prices have been raising over the years.

My grandfather used to tell us that back when he was still working he used to spend only R20 on groceries.

Today (2024) the average price of groceries in South Africa is R3,618 per month.


Back in the 80s, my grandfather was the only one with income. He worked at Anglo Gold mine

in Vaal Reefs (North West Province), as it was known at the time, and his salary was enough to support my grandmother, my mother, and her two brothers.

Today, households find it difficult to get by with just the salaries of both partners or parents due to inflation.


Most people can experience this loss of purchasing power but at the same time, they do not understand how it works and why it happens.

By now you should have a better understanding of how inflation works; you are more aware

now about these government obligations that affect your life. Later I will share ways that can help you hedge against inflation (coming articles).

The average price of brown bread was R2.68 (2003) and now the average price is R17 and R13 for standard bread.

Today partners/parents have no choice but to get into debt in order to cover their basic needs.

This turn of events can leave them with little to no savings and find themselves in large sums of debt

because of a decrease in purchasing power.

It is also difficult to save when the government levies high taxes. This one of the reason why most marriage’s end up with a divorce (Money Problems)

How Hyperinflation Destroyed Nations in The Past 100 years

Now let us take a look into hyperinflation in depth and also look into countries that have spiraled out of control

due to excess spending and debasement of currency.

What we have learned so far from the Romans is that excess spending and increasing money supply can lead to tremendous consequences.

What I do not understand is why doesn’t the government elites learn from history?

Why do they always repeat the same mistakes- it seems like they never learn from the past mistakes of previous rulers.

In 2023 the US inflation rate was 3.4%. In South Africa the average inflation rate was 6.0%.

these figures let us know the health of a country. High inflation rates = price increase.

A low inflation reading indicates that a country’s economy is healthy and prices are more or less stable.

When monthly inflation is above 50% that is when we have Hyperinflation. Now let us look into some of the countries that have experienced this nightmare:

The Collapse of the German Economy Through Inflation

Picture going to a restaurant, and the price of your meal is $23.98 USD. By the time you finish eating,

that same meal costs about $80 USD. Imagine going outside and seeing people carrying large sums of money in wheelbarrows to buy goods and services;

well, this is what Germany experienced during the Weimar Republic.

Germany experienced severe hyperinflation during the Weimar Republic, an event that continues to impact the nation’s

economic policies and the mindset of its citizens today. This historical trauma is openly expressed by many Germans,

influencing contemporary economic behavior and policy. Some Germans believe it is better to spend

their money immediately, fearing it might lose its purchasing power again. They recognize that modern currency lacks intrinsic value, unlike goods and services.

From 1919 to 1923, the German government was running trade deficits. Their revenue was only a quarter of the amount they needed to finance their debts.

Remember earlier when I said that when monthly inflation is above 50%, we have hyperinflation?

Well, Germany’s monthly inflation rose to a staggering 29,500%. In 1919, the price of a loaf of bread

cost 1 mark (German currency). By 1923, that same loaf of bread cost 100,000,000,000 marks.

The middle class watched as their savings went to zero (nothing); money that took many years to save became worthless overnight.

People who had positions in life that provided a stable income, like nurses and teachers, were not able to take care of themselves plus their families.

Inflation Driven Price Increases
These situations often lead to civil unrest within a country.

Most workers were often paid twice per day because prices rose so fast; their wages were worthless by lunchtime.

Factories started to close, unemployment started to rise.

It even got so bad that businesses stopped taking money; instead, they would rather trade with appliances that suited their needs.

In 1914, 1 USD = 4.2 Marks.By 1923, 1 USD = 4.2 Trillion Marks. This shows that overprinting affects everybody.

In 1924, the situation was stabilized by a new currency that was backed by solid assets. The problem is many middle-class people by this time had all lost their savings.

The Collapse of Zimbabwe’s Nation Through Inflation

Zimbabwe’s hyperinflation disaster is the most recent to date. Zimbabwe has experienced the second worst

inflation to date and the first of the 21st century. Zimbabwe’s monthly inflation was 76,600,000,000%. These events occurred during November 2008.

During this time, a 30-pound bag of potatoes cost 90 million Zimbabwe dollars in the first week of March; the same bag later amounted to 160 million.

In November, a bag of sugar cost 90 billion Zimbabwe dollars. Salaries of unskilled workers were 200 billion Zimbabwe dollars, equivalent to $10 a month.

That is how much people lost their purchasing power.

In 1980, Zimbabwe gained independence. This led to Mugabe being president.

He then sought to acquire white people’s land without compensation through the land reform Act that began in the 80s .

Subsequently, he influenced policies to establish Zimbabwe as a one-party regime.

Robert Mugabe then used the influence of the central banks to make it possible to fund new investors by printing money,

and he gave this money to new black individuals who had little to no experience.

Then, boom, the agriculture sector suffered, exports decreased, and the government ran larger deficits to keep up with debt . People suffered.

The elites of Zimbabwe started printing more money to keep up with debts, then boom, the economy collapsed.

Nations like the Roman Empire, Greece, Germany, and Zimbabwe all experienced the same fate.

When the balance of goods and services is unbalanced, it can lead to catastrophic outcomes.

Printing money hurts the economy, and yet we are in the biggest financial bubble that nobody sees. Who knows which nation will experience this next?

Instead of just waiting and blaming governments, people should use that energy to look for ways to protect themselves.

That’s why financial knowledge is important. In the next coming articles, I’ll touch on how you can protect yourself from being wiped out.

The absence of knowledge will have you going through life blind folded.

Conclusion: Inflation-Driven Price Increases Pt2

The government’s reliance on debt and money printing poses significant risks to individuals and economies.

Instead of waiting for governments to take action, it’s crucial for individuals to educate themselves

about financial matters and take steps to protect their assets.

In future articles, strategies to safeguard against financial instability will be explored.

Take control of your financial future by gaining knowledge and preparing for potential economic downturns.

Inflation-Driven Price Increases

FINANCIAL BUBBLE : Inflation Part 1

Inflation is something we all feel because it affects every one of us. The thing about inflation driven price increases

is that if you are not prepared for it, it can wipe you out in the long run.

Over the years, we’ve seen inflation rise through the roof, whether it’s through petrol prices, food commodities, or interest rates.

So it boils down to one thing:

The South African inflation rate is 5.3%, while the United States’ inflation rate is 3.5% in 2024.

what is inflation? How can I make sure I don’t fall behind? What causes prices to rise? I’ll explain everything you need to know

about inflation and how governments can lead their nation’s economy into hyperinflation.

Inflation’s Impact: Rome’s Economic Demise

To understand how inflation gets out of control, let’s dive back into history so that I can point out the events that led to the collapse

of the economy of Rome and what central banks of today are doing that is similar to Rome, which also led to their economies to collapse.

Inflation occurs when there is more money supply than there are goods and services produced. There needs to be a balance between

the money supply and goods and services to maintain the system. The more money that circulates in an economy, the more worthless it becomes.

In the early years of the Roman Republic (around 178 years), there weren’t any signs hinting that there was inflation during the time.

The fact that they were using gold and silver coins as their currency was the reason inflation was under control. In the early 218 BC,

Rome went to War with Carthage, leading to the Second Punic War.

inflation-driven price increases
Coming out victorious after the First Punic War, Rome emerged as a powerful nation, taking control over Sicily.

By this time, the Romans needed money to fund a war so they needed to find a way to solve this problem.

It was either to cut payments to soldiers, which could be dangerous because it can result in them taking unpredictable measures, or they could increase their money supply.

They increased the money supply. What they did was deficit spending (creating more money) by melting the coins (gold and silver)

they took through taxation and adding more cheap base metals like copper to create more coins (decreasing the purity of their coinage), increasing their money supply.

This caused inflation and also caused the purchasing power of Romans to decrease because the new coins they made

had contained less gold and silver and more copper and bronze, making it less desirable to trade with.

The Law of Scarcity: How Abundance Dilutes Value

As the Romans continued to debase their currency (lowering the value of a currency),

they began coming up with loopholes to increase their money supply.

One of the ways was through coin clipping: which means cutting off a piece of a precious metal coin like silver.

By gathering enough, you would be able to create a new coin.

What the Roman government did was to cut off the edge of a coin whenever a Roman citizen would enter a government building,

save those clipped-out coins, and create new coins, expanding the money supply. With more coins in circulation, this gave the government the power to spend more.

This addictive habit of increasing the money supply that continued to expand and expand can only lead to disaster.

The consequences of the decisions that the Roman officials took didn’t happen immediately; it took time to mold.

These unprecedented actions were the reason wealth was robbed from the citizens of Rome because their purchasing power decreased due to price increases.

This would eventually lead to occasions whereby soldiers would protest demanding an increase in wages due to the worthlessness of their coins.

Inflation-driven price increases

Eventually, prices of goods and services started raising rapidly, and the government also started increasing taxes on the citizens

to try to control the situation, but this failed.

Eventually, the bubble burst, and Rome was hit by hyperinflation, which wiped out the middle class and the poor people

and also affected the wealth and lifestyle of the affluent.

For example, there was a time when 1 pound of Gold = 50,000 Denarii (Roman currency); around 50 years later,

1 pound of Gold = 1,200,000,000,000 Denarii (42,400% hyperinflation).

To explain this hyperinflation, I will use the USA and South Africa. A VW Golf 7R car = R695,000 with a 42,400% hyperinflation,

the same car would cost R295,336,000. A loaf of Albany bread = R20; with a 42,400% hyperinflation, you would have to pay R8,480 for a loaf of bread.

If your dream house costs $387,000 with 42,400% hyperinflation, you would have to pay $164,088,800 for the same house.

This is how the Roman Elites stole the purchasing power of its people and eventually collapsed its financial system.

Rome: How Inflation Shapes Our World Today

According to Britannica Money.com, today’s monetary system is backed by nothing besides governments’ promises. Currencies that are in circulation globally, whether it’s Euro, Pounds, Rands, or Dollars, are called fiat currency.

The existence of fiat currency came after former US President Nixon took the dollar out of the gold standard in 1971. This is the same thing Rome did when they debased their currency, by increasing their money supply.

The Romans took out the intrinsic value out of their currency by adding copper in gold and silver to increase the money supply. US President Nixon took out the intrinsic value out of the dollar by removing it from the gold standard.

The problem with government is that they like to say one thing and end up doing another. President Nixon stated that the suspension of convertibility of the dollar to gold would be a temporary thing that will be in motion for only 90 days.

Today marks the 53rd year since Nixon removed the dollar from the gold standard. If you want to know the value of your local currency today, you would need to measure its relation with another country’s currency most preferably the dollar.

A country with a good economy typically has a more dominant currency than a country that is suffering from economic instability or inflation rates.

(we will be able to see the relation in currencies once we get into technical analysis when trading the forex market).

In today’s economy foreign central banks have procedures in place to be flexible to adjust with the fluctuations of the dollar

because like I said every foreign currency is measured against the dollar.

One of the key things to keep in mind is that if the American financial economy collapses, it will affect every country around the world, especially the US country.

Let me explain why. I agree with blockworks.co This monetary system is built up like a Ponzi scheme.

Before you attack me, allow me to explain how so. A Ponzi scheme is basically the continuous efforts of gathering

bigger and bigger pools of investors to pay off previous investors.

For example, Jane convinces investor 1 to invest $500 and promises to give him a 70% interest,

then Jane gets investor 2 and convinces her to invest $1,000 and promises to pay 70% interest.

With Investor 2 money, Jane uses it to pay investor one’s initial investment plus 70% interest, which would be $350 (interest), then she will keep the rest.

Then eventually, she will have to find another investor to pay off investor 2 plus interest, and so on and so on

until eventually it comes a day where Jane won’t be able to find new investors and the bubble collapses

or when it comes a day whereby all investors want to cash out at the same time.

Before I show you the similarities (covered in part 2: Inflation Driven Prices) let me explain briefly these 2 departments

so that you can understand broadly my comparison. The US Federal Reserve, also known as the Feds, is the central Bank of America.

The Feds are responsible for how much money is circulating in the economy that is ready to be spent on goods and services,

this is known as monetary policy. This gives the Feds the power to control interest rates and the state of health of an economy.

The Department of Treasury is responsible for fiscal policy. Fiscal policy is basically the use of taxation and government spending to influence the economy.

End Part 1: Inflation Driven-Price Increases

Rome was one of the most stable cities in the Mediterranean before the outbreak of the second Punic War. The war tested too much for Rome financially.

Their financial situation was so bad that they did not have enough reserves in their treasury.

This resulted in the Roman official to take action by debasing their currency much like what United States central banks did in 2008

to prevent America’s biggest banks from almost collapsing the global financial system.

Yes, I will also be discussing the 2008 crisis, but not in the series of Inflation, I will cover on a different article so stay tuned.

So to continue- Rome not being able to finance the war started the early practices of “printing money”

debasing their currency to increase the money supply which eventually caused high records of inflation.

By identifying the root problem to the collapse of the Roman empire we can see the same that is been done today.

Inflation we experience it year in year out never once have you had the price of bread for example went down from $5 to $2

but you are accustomed to hearing, “Wow I don’t think I will be able to make my groceries this month the way prices are so expensive”

or “sorry darling mummy cannot afford to buy your favourite meal at Mac Donald’s anymore.

In the present day, it holds significance for individuals to grasp the concept of inflation and strategies

for safeguarding their wealth against erosion of its purchasing power.

Fortunately, you’ve landed in the right spot. Here at Funds and Galore, we are committed to enlightening our eager community about various methods to shield their wealth.

It’s crucial to bear in mind the timeless wisdom often echoed by economists such as Milton Friedman:

the persistent presence of inflation whenever there’s an excess of money pursuing the same pool of goods and services.

Our Financial History

Foreign Exchange Market: The Dance of Currencies

When I first caught wind of the foreign exchange market, my eyes lit up in amazement.

Before we get into our financial history, let me first take you back to 2020, before we had a national lockdown in South Africa.

I just knocked back from school, instead of doing my normal routine when I got back home (play PlayStation/Netflix).


I was binge-watching Money Heist around that time: Bella Ciao Ciao Ciao!

Instead, this time around I was snatched by a desire, a craving unlike any other, akin to that of a person addicted to a substance yearning for their next fix ,

a desire that has allowed me to excess social networks with well-established investors in the country.

I had a desire to learn, read, and understand as much about our financial history and today’s monetary system

instead of praying that hyperinflation doesn’t strike the motherland like it did to Germany, Argentina, and most recently, Zimbabwe, etc.

The past has taught us over and over again that when government loses control of its currency supply,

economic instability follows because people’s pensions, savings, and purchasing power will be worthless overnight.

Zimbabwe has faced challenges in restoring faith in its currency. The last time it had a sound currency was in the early 2000s.

Now let us breakdown why these events take place in detail and later, when I get into the investing section,

I will discuss ways in which you can hedge against such phenomena if they were to occur in your country.

Foreign Exchange Market

The foreign exchange market (forex for short) has a daily trading volume of $6.6 trillion.

This market is the biggest market to date, built up of key players, namely the commercial banks, investment banks, hedge funds, corporations, and retail traders.

The total daily trading volume in forex is approximately $6 trillion, whereas the total of the global stock market is roughly $300 billion.

Every class here has a different investment strategy, capital, and influence, but what they have in common is the urge to speculate on currencies.

Given the sheer size of participants, these speculations on future price movement contribute vastly to the market’s liquidity and dynamics.

Importance of Understanding our Financial History

Pearl Sydenstricker Buck was best known for her novel “The Good Earth,” which won the Pulitzer Prize in 1932.

She has throughout her works expressed the importance of understanding history to grasp mentally the present and to be able to anticipate the future.

It is important to understand history because much of what we see today has been derived from history.

My purpose with this website, along with my YouTube channel that will air soon, will be to give you knowledge on how to play the game as a retail investor

and some inside scoop into how big players like hedge funds manipulate the market legally to swing the odds in their favour.

our financial history
Trading, just like martial arts, requires discipline, strategy, the ability to control your emotions, and continuous learning.

You don’t just want to be a trader who has no knowledge of why certain price movements or events occur;

you want to be a trader who knows why certain outcomes happen and how you can put yourself in a position to capitalize on those opportunities.

Knowing your history can come in handy when it comes to understanding the game. Dr. Dre is one of the best American hip-hop producers of all time.

Dr. Dre was inspired by music producers before his prime, such as Rick Rubin, who has worked with the likes of Michael Jackson, Run-DMC, and others.

My point is that Dre not only loved the music but also studied the music, the beats, the tunes, etc.

This factor also helped him create his own sound using the principles from past artists.

This is exactly what we’re going to do here on this website; we will also be studying the past to have a much better understanding of today’s marketplace.

Bretton Woods System

When World War II was coming to an end, 44 Allied Nations gathered at the Mount Washington Hotel for the Bretton Woods Conference

to work out a plan to rearrange the international economic system for after the war had ended.

our financial history
Germany, under the control of Adolf Hitler and his Nazi party, was at war with the Allied Nations, mainly with the USA, the United Kingdom, France, and the Soviet Union.

The representatives of the 44 Allied nations had to come up with a global system that could help prevent future competitive devaluation.

Today, governments of all countries have the ability to devalue their currency value to help boost

exports by making it cheaper for other countries to purchase their export products at competitive prices.

The downside to this strategy is that it will cause a country’s currency to become weak, decreasing its purchasing power.

In 1944, the 44 Allied nations established the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank.

The IMF was created to monitor exchange rates and provide financial assistance to countries facing economic instability.

For instance, if the South African government wanted to enhance productivity and

reduce unemployment but was experiencing budget deficits (spending more than they are making),

they could borrow money from the IMF. This borrowed capital could be utilized to create jobs, distribute stimulus checks, and enhance the labor force’s skills.

our financial history
By reducing unemployment, governments will be able to increase their tax revenue and allocate these newfound funds to infrastructure and public services.

Birth of a Fixed Exchange Rate

According to Federal Reserve History from July 1 to July 22, 1944, representatives of the Allied nations signed the Bretton Woods agreement on its final day.

This agreement meant that the US dollar became pegged to gold at a fixed rate (1 ounce of gold = $35), establishing a universal standard.

This arrangement allowed countries around the world to exchange their domestic currencies for US dollars, which could then be used to purchase gold.

The decision was made because, at that time, the United States Dollar was considered as good as gold,

and the US controlled two-thirds of the world’s gold reserves.

our financial history
Gold has intrinsic value; unlike currency, gold cannot be printed. Gold has stood the test of time; it has been valued by humans for over thousands of years.

Under this system, all currencies were backed by gold. To minimize the continuous

transportation of gold back and forth, it was typically stored safely in the USA.

However, with the dollar pegged to gold and countries exchanging their domestic currencies into dollars,

the United States began printing more money, leading to more money in circulation than there are gold reserves to back it.

This increase in circulating dollars exceeded their gold reserves, financing projects such as the Vietnam War and space missions to the moon.

This imbalance created concerns among other nations about the US printing excessive money relative to its gold reserves.

In response, France decided to convert dollars into gold ( they didn’t trust the U.S. government),

initiating a trend of countries doing the same. This led to a snowball effect, exacerbating the outflow of gold from American vaults.

To address this crisis, on August 15, 1971, former President Nixon gave a speech announcing an emergency suspension

of the convertibility of the dollar to gold. This marked the end of the Bretton Woods system.

What does former President Nixon mean by the emergency suspension of the convertibility of the dollar to gold?

In essence, this decision signaled the end of the gold standard and introduced a new monetary order

where the dollar was no longer backed by gold but solely by government promises.

Previously, pegging the dollar to gold encouraged disciplined government spending, as it prevented spending beyond the available gold reserves.

After World War II, the US emerged as the largest economy, and the dollar became a stable currency, backed by gold at a fixed value of $35 per ounce.

However, in 1971, gold ceased to serve as the standard measure of value, and the dollar continued to be the preferred currency for international trade.

For example, if South Africa wanted to purchase $251 million worth of aluminum from China,

they would first convert their local currency, such as the South African rand, to dollars before making the purchase.

Today, the United States holds significant global power due to the dollar’s status as the world reserve currency.

The US managed to persuade Saudi Arabia to sell oil exclusively in dollars, promising military security in return.

This arrangement was a game-changer, as it ensured that countries needed dollars to access oil, cementing the dollar’s dominance in international trade.

our financial history
Today, there is more money pursuing the same goods and services than ever before. Countries can print more money than they hold in gold reserves, with a promise to repay it. However, excessive money printing can lead to inflation, as governments can produce currency but not goods and services

In Conclusion: Our Financial History

When we look back at the historical roots of the forex market, we will be better suited to map out

an action plan that can act as a hedge against present and future prices.

Today, it is more important than ever to invest in yourself. The world is continuously evolving;

there is simply no time to sit back and relax, or you will definitely be left behind as our purchasing power diminishes year after year.

From the Bretton Woods system to a fiat currency system (which marked a turning point in history),

after former US President Nixon suspended the convertibility of the dollar to gold,

this had a significant influence on shaping the global scale because now countries around the world are not restricted to the amount of debt they can have,

often resulting in many of them finding themselves in large trade deficits.

The United States holds the title for the largest trade deficit globally, with exports consistently falling short of imports by billions of dollars each year.

Additionally, the nation carries the highest national debt, which currently stands at $34 trillion,

as reported by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation.

The government’s tax revenue falls short of covering this debt.

Our Financial history
American citizens are indirectly paying off this debt through taxes.

So, as we carefully analyze past events, we will be able to understand how our monetary system works

and what does this mean for us and why some experts argue that governments

do not work for the people but instead the people work for the governments.

It does not matter whether you’re a seasoned investor or a curious newcomer; recognizing

the dance of currencies is not just about predicting price movements;

it’s about making sense of and understanding the forces that drive them.

As we move forward, let’s learn from history and aim for a better understanding of how nations,

economies, and currencies interact dynamically (constantly changing and influencing each other).